The weather in the main exporting countries contributes to the development of a good harvest
This year’s spring was initially quite cold, but abundant rains replenished soil moisture reserves, which had a favorable effect on the condition of crops in the main grain exporting countries. The pace of planting is accelerating, and next week’s dry and warm weather will allow all areas to be planted, albeit slightly behind the optimal timing.
Soybean and corn planting rates are well ahead of average in the US Midwest, and the weather is helping the crops develop. In the next 7-10 days, temperatures will rise to 25-30 o C, which will accelerate the vegetation of spring wheat, soybean and corn plants.
Most of the Central and Southern Plains of the United States will see rain in the next few days, including the arid southwestern regions. But in the next 7-10 days there will be dry and hot weather.
According to the annual Kansas Wheat Tour, Kansas will have its smallest winter wheat crop in 60 years this year, as years of drought have drastically reduced yields and some fields will not be harvested at all.
In the Canadian province of Manitoba, there have been rains for the past few days, which will lead to a temporary decrease in temperatures. Weather conditions in the prairies are conducive to sowing, although droughts are quite common, so crops need moisture. Light rainfall is expected next week, but it will not be enough to overcome the drought.
In the province of Saskatchewan, 29% of the planned area has been sown in a week, and in general already 38% of the planned area, which is still inferior to the 5-year average of 53%. In Alberta, sowing was carried out on 24.2% of the area (23.4% on average over 5 years), in Manitoba – on 25% (63% on average).
In Brazil, the winter wheat growing area received rains, which improved the prospects for sowing and crop development. However, in the center of the country, where second-harvest corn is grown, dry weather persists with temperatures of 30-33 o C, which reduces moisture reserves in the crops.
In the southern regions of Argentina, the long-awaited rains have begun, which will continue for another week and will contribute to the sowing and obtaining of winter wheat seedlings. The Buenos Aires Stock Exchange BAGE lowered its forecast for the soybean harvest to 21 million tons, although the USDA kept its estimate at 27 million tons, so in June the world balance could be significantly adjusted
Weather in the EU favors sowing and crop development, only Spain continues to suffer from drought.
In the countries of the Black Sea region, warm weather with periodic precipitation favors the development of crops, the pace of sowing is accelerating, and in the Russian Federation 50% of the planned areas have already been sown, and in Ukraine next week, dry and warm weather will allow the sowing of spring crops to be completed.
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