Global pork production expected to rise slightly in 2026

Global pork production is expected to continue its moderate growth in 2026. According to AMI, worldwide output will increase by 0.6% to reach 129.5 mln tons. Higher production in China, Brazil, and the United States is expected to offset declining output across the European Union.

The European pork market remains under pressure. Producer prices for slaughter pigs have been falling due to weaker export demand, particularly following China’s import tariffs and the impact of the African swine fever (ASF) outbreak in Spain in late 2025. Trade restrictions have created an oversupply on the EU market, reducing profitability for pork producers.

Global pork consumption is also forecast to increase slightly. Demand in China, the world’s largest consumer, is expected to remain broadly stable, while emerging markets continue to expand. Consumption is projected to rise by 4.6% in Mexico and 3% in Vietnam, whereas the EU is expected to see a slight decline.

Global pork trade is also expected to strengthen in 2026. Strong import demand from Mexico and weaker export competition from the EU are likely to help the United States increase shipments and further reinforce its position as the world’s leading pork exporter.

Meanwhile, pork exports from the European Union are expected to remain below previous levels because of ASF-related trade restrictions. Mexico is projected to further strengthen its position as one of the world’s largest pork importers, supporting robust demand on the global market.

Tags: pork