Tunisia’s olive oil production could fall by 40%

Tunisia’s olive oil production could decline to 300 thsd tons in the 2026/27 season, compared with 500 thsd tons in the previous season. This would represent a drop of around 40%, according to the country’s National Chamber of Olive Producers.

The expected decline is mainly attributed to the natural biennial bearing cycle of olive trees. A high-yielding season is typically followed by a year of lower production, which is expected to significantly reduce olive oil output this season.

At the same time, lower production could be partly offset by higher prices on the international market. The industry expects olive oil revenues this season to remain roughly in line with the previous year despite significantly lower production volumes.

Lower production in Tunisia will also reduce the volume of olive oil available from the country for international markets. With output expected to fall by 200 thsd tons, global price developments will be a key factor for Tunisian producers’ revenues in the 2026/27 season.

Tags: olive oil, Tunisia