Black Sea wheat export trends
Wheat exports through Ukraine’s Black Sea ports nearly came to a halt in August. Part of the export volume was redirected to Constanța, but difficulties are emerging on this route as well. Market participants report that the Sulina Canal is struggling to cope with the growing traffic.
A significant slowdown is also being observed at russian ports. Wheat exports from russia in August are expected to remain below 1.8 MMT, compared to 4.4 MMT in August 2025. Operations at russia’s largest grain hub, the port of Novorossiysk, as well as at the shallow-water ports of the Azov Sea, remain restricted. One of Novorossiysk’s terminals, NCSP Grain Terminal (NKHP), stated that it may take between one and four months to resume operations, while two other terminals in the port are also out of service.
As a result, weak grain exports through russian ports are likely to persist in September. For reference, in MY 2025/26, NKHP handled more than 6.2 MMT of grain exports.
Wheat Exports From Black Sea Ports, KMT
*Pivdennyi, Odesa, Chornomorsk
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