USDA lowers estimate of Ukraine’s wheat harvest and exports this season

Source:  Latifundist.com
МСХ США USDA

USDA forecasts world wheat production in MY 2025/26 at 808.5 million tons (-0.04 million tons compared to the previous season), according to the USDA report for July.

The forecast for world wheat exports is 213.06 million tons (-1.27 million tons). Experts have lowered the forecast for ending wheat stocks in the world to 261.52 million tons (-1.24 million tons).

The forecast for the wheat harvest in Ukraine has decreased by 1 million tons to 22 million tons, exports will be at 15.5 million tons (-1 million tons), ending stocks unchanged – 1.59 million tons (+0.1 million tons).

The forecast for the wheat harvest for the USA is 52.49 million tons (+0.21 million tons). Estimated exports are 23.13 million tons (+0.68 million tons), ending stocks are 24.23 million tons (-0.22 million tons).

Forecast for major wheat exporters for 2025/26 MY:

Country Harvest, mln tons Exports, mln tons Stoks, mln tons
Argentina 20 (0) 13 (0) 4,65 (0)
Australia 31 (0) 25 (0) 4,35 (+0,03)
Canada 35 (-1) 27 (0) 3,49 (-0,9)
EU 137,25 (+0,7) 32 (-2) 12,61 (-0,3)
Russia 83,5 (+0,5) 46 (+1) 9,39 (0)

USDA analysts forecast wheat production in China in 2025/26 MY at 142 million tons, estimated imports — 6 million tons, ending stocks — 124.6 million tons.

For almost 30 years of expertise in the agri markets, UkrAgroConsult has accumulated an extensive database, which became the basis of the platform AgriSupp.

It is a multi-functional online platform with market intelligence for grains and oilseeds that enables to get access to daily operational information on the Black Sea & Danube markets, analytical reports, historical data.

You are welcome to get a 7-day free demo access!!!

Tags: , , ,

Got additional questions?
We will be happy to assist!