Russia is more stable in grain exports than Europe and the US, due to sanctions experience and relations with Iran

Russian grain exports may be more resilient to logistical risks than shipments from Europe or the United States, as Russian traders have more experience working under sanctions and heightened risks, said Andrey Sizov, managing director of the Black Sea grain consulting company SovEcon, according to Miller Magazine.

According to the Russian analyst, grain trade in the Black Sea region has already adapted to sanctions and previous escalations thanks to alternative insurance.

“Russia has more experience working under high-risk conditions. Russian grain flows may be more resilient than European or American ones, thanks to this established non-traditional logistics. In some cases, vessels may move with limited insurance solutions or different structures,” Sizov noted.

He added that there is also a geopolitical aspect. In the Red Sea, groups that sometimes attack ships tend not to target vessels carrying Russian goods, due to Russia’s special relationship with Iran.

“This has happened from time to time, but not as a rule. This may give Russia some advantage in riskier shipping lanes,” the analyst stressed.

Thus, Russian export flows may be more resilient for several reasons: operational adaptation under sanctions and the political risk profile of certain routes.

Tags: sanctions, war, Iran, Russia, grain, EU, prices, USA, margin