Ireland’s grain production to decline by 14% due to drought and lower yields

Ireland’s grain production could decline by 14% in 2026 compared with the previous year, falling to 1.92 mln tons. This is according to a survey conducted by the Irish Farmers’ Association (IFA) National Grain Committee, with the results in line with estimates from the research organization Teagasc. The main reasons for the production decline are unfavorable weather conditions, lower grain yields and rising production costs. Combined with low purchase prices, these factors are putting additional pressure on Irish farmers’ profitability.

The most significant yield decline has been recorded in winter wheat. According to IFA estimates, average winter wheat yields reached approximately 9.51 t/ha this year, compared with 10.63 t/ha in 2025. Winter barley yields are estimated at 8.52 t/ha, winter oats at 8.65 t/ha and spring barley at 6.50 t/ha. Overall, grain yields across the country were approximately 1.2 t/ha lower than last year, significantly affecting total production volumes.

Difficult weather conditions throughout the growing season were among the main factors behind the deterioration in yields. Excessive rainfall in January delayed fertilizer applications, while much of the country experienced drought from mid-June through August. The lack of moisture particularly affected spring barley, which was planted in two stages — in mid-March and approximately one month later. Earlier-sown crops were better able to withstand the dry conditions, while later plantings suffered significantly from the prolonged absence of rainfall.

Drought also negatively affected the quality of malting barley. According to the IFA, dry weather ahead of harvesting affected grain protein content and screenings, both of which are important for its use in the malting industry. Deteriorating grain quality is creating additional challenges for producers already facing low purchase prices for malting barley. Combined with rising cultivation costs, this is increasing financial pressure on grain farms.

Meanwhile, winter rapeseed performed significantly better than most cereal crops. Its average yield reached approximately 4.94 t/ha, making rapeseed one of the best-performing crops of the season. IFA representatives highlighted the crop’s consistent performance even under difficult weather conditions. Thus, despite the overall decline in Ireland’s grain harvest, winter rapeseed continues to demonstrate high productivity, while wheat and barley producers are still dealing with the consequences of drought and rising production costs.

Tags: Ireland, oats, spring barley, weather conditions, grain, winter wheat