USDA leaves wheat harvest forecast in Ukraine unchanged
USDA forecasts world wheat production in MY 2025/26 at 806.9 million tons (-1.65 million tons compared to the previous forecast), according to the USDA report for August.
The forecast for world wheat exports is 213.53 million tons (+0.47 million tons). Experts have lowered the forecast for ending wheat stocks in the world to 260.08 million tons (-1.44 million tons).
The forecast for the wheat harvest in Ukraine is unchanged at 22 million tons, exports will be at 15.5 million tons, ending stocks are unchanged at 0.93 million tons (-0.66 million tons).
The forecast for the wheat harvest for the USA is 52.45 million tons (-0.04 million tons). Estimated exports are 23.81 million tons (+0.68 million tons), ending stocks are 23.64 million tons (-0.59 million tons).
Forecast for major wheat exporters for MY 2025/26:
| Country | Harvest, mln tons | Exports, mln ton | Stocks, miln ton |
| Argentina | 19,7 (-0,3) | 13 (0) | 4,35 (-0,3) |
| Australia | 31 (0) | 25 (0) | 4,38 (+0,03) |
| Canada | 35 (0) | 27 (0) | 3,49 (0) |
| EU | 138,25 (+1) | 32 (0) | 12,61 (0) |
| Russia | 83,5 (0) | 46 (0) | 9,39 (0) |
USDA analysts forecast wheat production in China in MY 2025/26 at 140 million tons (-2 million tons), import estimate — 6 million tons, ending stocks — 124.78 million tons (+0.18 million tons).
For almost 30 years of expertise in the agri markets, UkrAgroConsult has accumulated an extensive database, which became the basis of the platform AgriSupp.
It is a multi-functional online platform with market intelligence for grains and oilseeds that enables to get access to daily operational information on the Black Sea & Danube markets, analytical reports, historical data.
You are welcome to get a 7-day free demo access!!!
Read also
UkrAgroConsult presents market research on Ukraine’s livestock sector under condit...
Rains bring relieve for Romanian farmers, who switched to rapeseed from spring crops
China’s decision on US soybeans could weaken palm oil’s competitiveness
Russia’s wheat shipments fall 18% in Q1 MY 2025/26 on weaker demand, higher compet...
Sunseed prices in Ukraine rise due to delayed harvest
Got additional questions?
We will be happy to assist!
Write to us
Our manager will contact you soon