USDA decided to revise its Black Sea grain export estimates

UkrAgroConsult

Ukraine. The forecast for Ukrainian corn exports was reduced by 1 MMT because of a slow pace of shipments. At the same time, the respective figure for barley exports, on the contrary, was increased by 100 KMT.

Russia. The wheat export estimate was raised by 0.5 MMT because a domestic price drop had made Russian wheat more competitive in the world market.

Kazakhstan. The barley export estimate was cut by 200 KMT because of a slow pace of shipments, UkrAgroConsult reports.

USDA: Estimates of Black Sea grain production and exports in 2020/21 season, MMT (April)

  Wheat Corn Barley
Country Production Export Production Export Production Export
20/21 (Apr) 20/21 (Mar) 20/21 (Apr) 20/21 (Mar) 20/21 (Apr) 20/21 (Mar) 20/21 (Apr) 20/21 (Mar) 20/21 (Apr) 20/21 (Mar) 20/21 (Apr) 20/21 (Mar)
Ukraine 25.5 25.5 17.5 17.5 29.5 29.5 23.0 24.0 8.0 8.0 4.3 4.2
Russia 85.354 85.3 39.5 39.0 13.872 14.0 3.1 3.1 20.629 20.6 5.4 5.4
Kazakhstan 14.256 14.256 7.5 7.5 0.958 0.958 0.06 0.06 3.659 3.659 1.0 1.2

Thus, in April, grain export potential of the Black Sea region decreased by 0.6 MMT (-0.06% from the March estimate) to 101.36 MMT.

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