Ukraine’s share of EU millet imports nearly halves

Ukraine significantly reduced its millet exports to the European Union at the beginning of the MY 2026/27, losing a substantial share of the market. According to DG AGRI and the TAXUD customs surveillance system, Ukrainian millet shipments to the EU totaled 2.8 thsd tons between July 1 and October 25, 2026, compared with 8.48 thsd tons during the same period last season, a decline of 67%. As a result, Ukraine’s share of total EU millet imports from third countries fell from 81.3% to 44.8%. Despite the sharp decline, Ukraine remains the largest supplier of millet to the European market.

The reduction in Ukrainian shipments came amid an overall decline in EU millet imports. During the first almost four months of the season, EU countries purchased 6.24 thsd tons of millet, compared with 10.43 thsd tons a year earlier, representing a 40.2% decrease. The value of millet imports fell from €4.09 mln to €2.97 mln. Meanwhile, the average import price increased by 23% to approximately €480/ton, indicating higher prices despite a decline in physical import volumes.

As shipments from Ukraine declined, several countries expanded their presence in the European market. Argentina increased its millet exports to the EU by 70.8%, from 455 to 777 tons, while Ethiopia more than doubled its shipments to 136 tons. Meanwhile, Russia became the EU’s second-largest millet supplier with 1.37 thsd tons, compared with no recorded shipments during the same period last season. Imports from China fell by 27.4% to 438 tons, and those from India dropped by 79.1% to 122 tons. These developments indicate a gradual shift in the structure of EU millet imports, although Ukraine continues to hold the leading position.

Among European buyers, Poland and Germany accounted for the largest volumes of imported millet. During July–October, Poland reduced purchases by 10% to 1.77 thsd tons, while Germany cut imports by 39% to 1.52 thsd tons. Meanwhile, Belgium increased its purchases by 15% to 717 tons, and Hungary by 29% to 713 tons.

Trading activity in the international millet market remains subdued. In China, some farmers are holding back their harvest due to dissatisfaction with current prices, while most traders are purchasing only enough to meet immediate needs. In late October, export prices for conventional hulled millet stood at around $1,030/ton FOB Dalian, while organic millet was quoted at $1,100/ton. Despite limited buying activity, the price premium for organic millet remained at $70/ton.

Despite lower shipments at the beginning of the season, Ukraine retains its position as the EU’s key millet supplier. However, its declining market share and changes in import patterns are increasing the importance of price competitiveness and stable trade flows for Ukrainian exporters.

Tags: EU, Millet, Ukraine