Türkiye’s outlook for grain production has improved as snowfall and rainfall have returned to seasonal norms across the country, boosting prospects for a strong harvest. The normalization of weather conditions has raised hopes for a solid wheat crop following drought-related losses last season.
According to the National Grain Council (UHK), precipitation levels this season have already exceeded those of last year and are now in line with long-term averages. If favorable weather persists into spring, Türkiye could even achieve a record wheat harvest.
UHK President Yasar Serpi said climate risks had severely affected grain production in the 2024–2025 season. Irregular rainfall led to an overall grain output decline of 12.3%, while wheat production fell by 13.7% to 17.9 million tons.
Serpi noted that climate variability has become a structural factor in Turkish agriculture. In drought-prone regions, farmers are increasingly shifting toward more resilient crops such as wheat and barley. As a result, wheat planting areas have expanded by 10–15% in some regions this season.
Despite the current positive conditions, UHK urged cautious optimism. Temperatures in April and May will be decisive for final yields. “The timing of rainfall is more important than the amount,” Serpi said. The council plans to hold an industry event in April focusing on climate risks, food security, and sustainable production, including discussions on water management, new crop varieties, and market stability.
