Rains in the US, frosts in Brazil and heat in Europe increase risks for future harvests

Due to Russia’s war against Ukraine, the whole world is on the verge of famine, the risk of which is exacerbated by adverse weather in other grain-exporting countries.

The Ministry of Agrarian Policy of Ukraine reports that this year’s harvest in Ukraine due to the war will be twice less than last year, and in general the fate of three harvests will be at stake in the summer.

While the weather in the Black Sea region is conducive to the development of crops, but lowering the air temperature for the next 7-10 days (with possible frosts in Russia) will slow down the growing season. Periodic showers will improve soil moisture reserves.

Russia’s SovEkon agency has raised its forecast for wheat production in the country by 1.2 million tons to a record 88.6 million tons compared to last year’s 76 million tons due to good winter conditions and increased sowing areas of spring wheat.

Cold rainy weather is returning to the United States , which will continue to delay the sowing of soybeans and corn in the Midwest, which is twice as slow as last year. In the south-west of the Great Plains, downpours will improve the condition of winter wheat crops. Heavy rains and cold weather with possible frosts are expected in the Northern Plains next week, but they will not cause damage due to the spring delay in sowing.

In central Brazil, heat of 30-32 ^° C without precipitation has a negative effect on second-harvest maize crops, which are in the pollination and formation phase. Frosts are possible in the southern regions, which will also negatively affect future harvests.

In Argentina, dry weather helps to harvest soybeans and corn and sow winter wheat. Heavy rains next week will improve soil moisture reserves.

In Western Europe , the heat has been prevailing for a week now with temperatures well above the norm. The downpours that will take place next week will reduce stress for plants. The dry weather in May significantly damaged grain crops in some regions of France. Heavy rainfall is now needed to restore them.

In Eastern Europe , the temperature and humidity of the soil are more favorable, and in general the harvest is in a much better condition than last year, and heavy rains are expected there next week.

In Canada , in the provinces of Manitoba and in eastern Saskatchewan, wet and cold weather persists, delaying the sowing of wheat and canola. Recent rains in the west of the region have improved soil moisture where there was a drought in the fall. Next week’s snowfall will slow down sowing and drying of the soil.

Tags: Ukraine, Brazil, EU, Canada, USA, Argentina