MARKET SIGNALS TO WATCH, August 25 – September 02

Source:  UkrAgroConsult
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UkrAgroConsult shares key highlights from Weekly Grain & Oilseed Reports (August 25 – September 02, 2025).

Subscribe to Black Sea & Danube Grain Report and Black Sea & Danube Oilseed Report for the detailed market coverage.

Black Sea & Danube region:

  • SE Europe wheat more upside vs other region
  • Hungary wheat crop is bigger y/y, prices modestly supported
  • Egypt is at risk of record wheat imports in 2025/26. FR/RO/RU supply intensifies competition
  • Serbia–Egypt FTA: live 1 Sep 2025
  • Weak drivers for RO winter planting (moisture, price, input costs)
  • Low domestic grain bids in Poland with farmers’ focusing on subsidy push
  • Serbia corn yields are cut by heat
  • EU board weakness only partly transmits to UA and RO cash
  • SFS remains strong as liquidity is thin and crushers are short nearby
  • Dry topsoil in August may hurt winter RPS seeding

Ukraine:

  • SFS harvest advancing with yield below 1 mt/ha
  • Tight SFS flow keeps crushers paying up
  • Rapeseed harvest exceeds 3.4 M mt
  • Winter rapeseed sowing toward 500 K ha by early Sep
  • SFO prices rising despite new sunseed harvest
  • Wheat yield near 5-yr average
  • Milling wheat prices slip on russian supply

Analytical articles are also available in the AgriSupp platform.

Discover more about аgri market developments at the 11 International Conference BLACK SEA OIL TRADE on September 23 in Bucharest! Join agribusiness professionals from 25+ countries for a powerful start of the oilseed season!

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