India’s chickpea crop falls nearly 30% due to adverse weather conditions

India’s Kabuli chickpea production in 2026 is estimated at approximately 2.2 mln tons, down 900 thsd tons, or nearly 29%, from last year. According to market participants, around 20% of the planted area was damaged by Cyclone Arnab, significantly worsening the crop outlook. The current production estimate is also well below the usual range of 3–3.1 mln tons. Meanwhile, planting of the rabi, or winter-season, chickpea crop is nearly complete.

Lower production and tight supplies are supporting high Indian chickpea prices despite weakening domestic demand. Following substantial increases in previous weeks, export prices have continued to rise. Large-calibre Kabuli chickpeas of 12 mm are currently offered at $1,275/ton FOB India, while 11 mm chickpeas are priced at $1,250/ton and 10 mm at $1,240/ton. Prices for smaller calibres range from $1,165 to $1,185/ton.

Meanwhile, trading activity in Delhi and surrounding regions remains subdued due to weak demand and sales of smaller lots at slightly lower prices. The Diwali holiday has also temporarily slowed market activity. Nevertheless, tight supplies continue to support expectations of a further price recovery.

In contrast, demand in Madhya Pradesh remains strong, driven by active purchasing from exporters who continue to secure large volumes even at current high prices. As a result, traders in Delhi are finding it increasingly difficult to source chickpeas at favourable prices. Some supplies are shipped directly to Uttar Pradesh and Punjab, allowing buyers to reduce transportation costs. Limited arrivals from producing regions and the absence of large-scale stock liquidation are also supporting the market.

Unlike India, Canada’s chickpea market remains relatively stable. According to Rayglen Commodities, ample supplies are limiting buying interest, while prospects for higher prices depend primarily on a recovery in export demand. Meanwhile, uncertainty over the quality of the new crop could provide additional support for high-quality Kabuli chickpea prices if international purchasing activity strengthens.

Tags: India, chickpea