First concerns emerge in the EU about the new sunflower crop
Heat and drought in the Black Sea region have negatively affected sunflower crops in key producing regions, leading to an increase in export prices for sunflower oil in July by $25–45 per tonne depending on origin. High temperatures have affected the crop in some regions of Ukraine, in southern regions of Russia, as well as in Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary and Turkey. The 2025/26 harvest is forecast to be lower than expected in the spring, especially in Ukraine, Turkey and Russia.
The EU is already raising concerns about the new sunflower crop. MARS has lowered its 2025/26 sunflower yield forecast to 1.94 t/ha, 8% below its previous estimate and 4% below the five-year average. This encourages European buyers to contract sunflower oil more actively, especially against the backdrop of uncertainty with palm oil due to the EU’s “green” policy. In July, sunflower oil exports from Ukraine increased by 47% compared to the previous month, reaching approximately 464 thousand tons.
Further development of the grain and oilseed markets of Ukraine and the Black Sea region will be in the spotlight of the BLACK SEA GRAIN. KYIV conference, taking place on April 22–23 in Kyiv. The event will focus on strategic directions for the agricultural sector through 2030, including investments, energy independence, processing, and exports of high-value products.
Join strategic discussions and networking with industry leaders to gain актуальна insights, discover new business opportunities, and build partnerships with key market players.
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