Egypt wheat imports fall 49%, but buying needs remain high
Egypt imported 1.02 mln tons of wheat in July–August 2026, down 49% from the same period a year earlier. The decline mainly reflects delayed purchases amid more difficult logistics and higher risks in the Black Sea.
At the same time, the country’s import needs remain substantial. Egypt started the season with 3.7 mln tons of wheat stocks, around 11% below the five-year average, while another 2.3 mln tons still need to be secured for the subsidised bread programme.
Egypt remains heavily dependent on external supplies, with domestic production covering only about 48% of demand. Annual wheat consumption is estimated at around 20 mln tons.
About 83% of the value of Egypt’s wheat imports in January–August came from the Black Sea region. Given logistics risks, the country is considering a broader supplier base, including an expected 50–60 thsd ton cargo of French wheat.
Demand for wheat and flour also remains high across East Africa. Combined import requirements in Ethiopia, Sudan, Kenya and Tanzania are estimated at around 8 mln tons on a wheat-equivalent basis, leaving significant opportunities for Black Sea and other suppliers.
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