China likely to target US agriculture, state media reports, as Trump tariff deadline nears

Global Times signals Beijing’s likely countermeasure after US president threatened a further 10% duty to come into force on Tuesday

China is preparing countermeasures against fresh US import tariffs that are set to take effect on Tuesday, China’s state-backed Global Times reported, with American agricultural exports likely to be targeted.

Donald Trump last week threatened China with an extra 10% duty, resulting in a cumulative 20% tariff, while accusing Beijing of not having done enough to halt the flow of fentanyl into America, something China said was tantamount to “blackmail”.

“China is studying and formulating relevant countermeasures in response to the US threat of imposing an additional 10% tariff on Chinese products under the pretext of fentanyl,” Global Times reported on Monday, citing an anonymous source.

“The countermeasures will likely include both tariffs and a series of non-tariff measures, and US agricultural and food products will most likely be listed,” the report added.

The US has long been vulnerable to China targeting its agricultural exports in times of trade tensions.

China remains the biggest market for US agriculture products despite a decline in imports since 2018 when Beijing placed tariffs of up to 25% on soya beans, beef, pork, wheat, corn and sorghum in retaliation for duties on Chinese goods imposed by Trump.

The world’s top agricultural importer and second-largest economy brought in $29.25bn of US agriculture products in 2024, a 14% drop from a year earlier.

Global Times, which is owned by the newspaper of the governing Communist party, People’s Daily, was first to report the steps China planned to take in response to the European Union imposing tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles last year.

Trump’s announcement left Beijing with less than a week to come up with countermeasures or strike a deal. The proposed extra levies also coincide with the start to China’s annual meeting of parliament, a political set-piece event at which Beijing is expected to roll out its 2025 economic priorities.

Analysts say Beijing still hopes to negotiate a truce with the Trump administration, but with no signs of any trade talks yet the prospect of a rapprochement is fading.

“A China-US trade war is not inevitable, but Trump’s decision to impose tariffs now is a bad decision,” said Wang Dong, executive director of the Institute for Global Cooperation and Understanding at Peking University.

“Trump and his advisers may think that imposing tariffs at this time is to put pressure on China, sending a signal, but this will backfire and China will inevitably respond strongly.”

Tags: China, agricultural products, USA