Bulgaria: Oilseed 2025 surplus – helping or unusable? Navigating the crush margin
UkrAgroConsult
Article author:
Key trends of the 2024/25 season:
- Weather impact
- Increased demand for oilseeds due to investments in the processing industry
- Maximum local usage and reduction of oilseed exports
- Increased dependence on raw material imports
- Foreign policy factors leading to diversification of raw material suppliers.
Forecast for 2025/26 season
The 2024/25 prices encourage farmers to expand oilseeds area in 2025.
A limiting factor for SFS areas expansion is competition from cereals (increase in wheat and barley areas in 2025).
The 2025/26 S&D is currently based on a baseline scenario which foresees a reduction in SFS areas (-4% compared to 2024/25) and an increase in rapeseed areas (+17%).
In the March MARS report, forecasts for SFS and rapeseed harvest were reduced, but remain above last year’s figures and the 5-year average.
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