AHDB says latest forecasts show global pork production to shift whilst volumes hold steady
AHDB reports on USDA’s latest quarterly outlook for global red meat.
The USDA forecasts 2025 global pork production to be almost unchanged on the year at 116.7 Mt as increased Brazilian and US production (driven by lower feed costs) counterbalances losses in the EU and China.
The USDA attributes a 1% decrease in EU pig production to shifting consumer preferences, spread of animal disease, and regulations.
Lower Chinese pig slaughter is driven by reduced sow numbers driven by lower pricing and continued industry contraction as well as improved pig performance with higher piglet numbers reducing the need for larger sow inventories.
Forecast pork production, year-on-year change 2025 versus 2024
Original data source: USDA
Global pork trade is anticipated to be slightly muted in 2025 compared to 2024. Reduced exports from major producers like the EU and Canada are expected, due to reduced exportable supply and reduced demand in key markets due to economic uncertainty – specifically in Asia.
The US is also expected to see a decrease in pork exports throughout 2025, attributed by the USDA to market uncertainties. Meanwhile, pork exports from Brazil are primed for growth, as Brazil takes advantage of the unstable trade situation and its lower production costs to pivot towards new opportunities.
Further development of the grain and oilseed markets of Ukraine and the Black Sea region will be in the spotlight of the BLACK SEA GRAIN. KYIV conference, taking place on April 22–23 in Kyiv. The event will focus on strategic directions for the agricultural sector through 2030, including investments, energy independence, processing, and exports of high-value products.
Join strategic discussions and networking with industry leaders to gain актуальна insights, discover new business opportunities, and build partnerships with key market players.
Read also
Export prices for corn in Ukraine are decreasing following stock market quotes
Turkey abolished customs duties on a number of fertilizers
Oil Market Enters a Phase of High Risks and Unstable Margins
Syria has become the main hub for purchasing stolen Ukrainian grain
Jordan purchased 50 thsd tons of barley in a tender
Got additional questions?
We will be happy to assist!
Write to us
Our manager will contact you soon