WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS, December 20, 2024 – January 6, 2025

Source:  UkrAgroConsult
BSG-BSO-issue

Details about the reports:

Black Sea & Danube Grain Report: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/publication/black-sea-danube-grain-report/

Black Sea & Danube Oilseed report: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/publication/black-sea-danube_vegoil-report/

All articles are available in the AgriSupp platform: https://agrisupp.com/en

  • The holiday season has reduced trading activity in the oilseed markets to a minimum.
  • January increase in trade activity can boost domestic prices.
  • Climate changes. The 2025 grain and oilseed harvest will depend heavily on the precipitation of January, February and March.
  • Winter cereals are in a state of shallow winter dormancy.
  • Forecasts for the 2025 wheat crop currently range from 78 to 89 M mt.
  • In December 2024, precipitation in Romania considerably improved the outlook for Romanian winter crops.
  • If weather scenario is positive, the 2025/26 barley production and exports may increase considerably being record high.
  • UkrAgroConsult estimates Romanian rapeseed crop at 1.9 M mt.
  • In 2025, rapeseed area in Romania may be record high increasing by almost 30% y/y.
  • Ukrainian crushers switched to soybean processing due to sunflower seed deficit.
  • Sunflower oil exports in January 1-2 exceeded December 1-2 figures, while other vegoil positions are lagging behind.

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