Ukrainian barley – crunch, exports & pricing in the 2025/26 start
UkrAgroConsult
Article author:
In 2024/25 barley exports were at 2.18 M mt (–12 % vs. 2023/24), lowest since 2012/13 despite above-average yields; area cuts decreased 2024 harvest. Exports were the biggest in Q1 of the 2024/25 (July-Sep), near zero in Jan-June 2025. China bought about 700 K mt in Q1 but then vanished; top buyers since: Libya, Spain, Jordan; Saudi Arabia almost zero purchases.
Barley harvesting and exports estimates, 2025/26
Initially reported yields are very low; central regions may rebound but southern shortfall determine the total harvest. Barley production estimate was trimmed.
Market outlook
Barley supply and exports will peak over next three months. As it was last season, China may switch back to Australia/Argentina from Nov as these countries’ crops look strong. Loss of premium demand will pressure CPT bids, so far, demand dictates prices.
Full version of the article is available to subscribers of ‘BLACK SEA & DANUBE GRAIN’ Weekly Report by UkrAgroConsult.
Request a free a sample report and apply for subscription here.
Be confident with your business and trade strategy based on professional analysis and forecasts of the Black Sea agri market
Read also
The Counterparty Is Trying to Avoid Fulfilling the Contract. What Should You Do?
Russia’s lurking grain industry crisis
China extends Canadian canola probe until March 2026
US agricultural sales to increase by $8 bln following agreement with Japan
China’s soybean stocks hit record high amid trade war with US
Got additional questions?
We will be happy to assist!
Write to us
Our manager will contact you soon