Ukraine oilseeds in 2026/27: Sowing decisions are shifting towards margin and processing

UkrAgroConsult

Article author:

Svitlana Kupreeva

Oilseed Market Analyst

Ukraine’s oilseed production in the 2026/27 season is expected to recover after the tight and deficit-driven previous season. Early spring weather is generally supportive for spring crops, and the land distribution is again moving toward the most profitable crops. High sunflower seed prices remain the main signal for farmers. That supports area expansion and gives the oilseed group a stronger position against grains.

However, final planting decisions will still depend on input costs, fertiliser availability and export corridors reliability. This is usual trend, because spring always focus famers on a margin choice between crops. This trend supposedly is strengthened by nonstop Ukraine moving toward oilseeds and their processing.

The new 2026/27 season will likely confirm the shift from raw oilseed exports toward domestic crushing. Soybeans and rapeseed export duties improving the crush margin inside Ukraine through higher crushing capacity loading and a larger share of veg oils and meal in the export.

This is not a one-season trend but rather a strategic change in the Ukrainian oilseed complex.

For the Black Sea-Danube-Balkan region, margins are moving from raw oilseed exports toward products with higher added value. General impression is that the Black Sea-Danube-Balkan market is functioning now as an integrated deficit market. Crushers demand for feedstock and EU biofuel policy keeps the oilseed market well supported.

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Tags: Ukraine, prices, soybean, sunseed, rapeseed, crop forecast