Sunflower oil. Focusing on the prospects of the current 2025/26 season
UkrAgroConsult
Article author:
Black Sea & Danube region sets the global sunflower oil trends this year. Despite record SFS area in 2025 (8% more y/y), weather trimmed yields. Regional crop now seen near 35.0 M mt, about 0.4% below y/y.
russia offsets weak SFS crop in the South with better Central/North, while Ukraine misses expected gains in the North and West and rains slow harvest and hurt seed quality. Since March 2025, Ukraine’s crop forecasts are cut by about 3.0 M mt and russia by about 0.8 M mt.
UkrAgroConsult SFS numbers
- Ukraine – (8% less y/y)
- russia -(2% more)
- EU – (3% more y/y but still about 9% below its 5-year average).
Prices favor sunoil. Global spreads vs palm and soy reached roughly 270 $/mt and 200 $/mt in early November.
UkrAgroConsult considers early November brief price correction as technical because Ukraine’s crush capacity remains long relative to seed supply, so sunoil availability stays tight through the 2025/26 season.
Full version of the article is available to subscribers of the Weekly ‘BLACK SEA & DANUBE OILSEED REPORT’ by UkrAgroConsult.
Request a free a sample report and apply for subscription here.
Be confident with your business and trade strategy based on professional analysis and forecasts of the Black Sea agri market.
Read also
EU pesticide reduction practices — The Netherlands as an example
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year! UkrAgroConsult work schedule
Grain exports from Ukraine exceeded 15 mln tons
China calls for stability in grain and edible oil production
Sunseed prices in Ukraine continue to decline, but are still 10% higher than last ...
Got additional questions?
We will be happy to assist!
Write to us
Our manager will contact you soon