MARKET SIGNALS TO WATCH, October 20 – 27

Source:  UkrAgroConsult
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UkrAgroConsult shares key highlights from Weekly Grain & Oilseed Reports (October 20 – 27, 2025).

Subscribe to Black Sea & Danube Grain Report and Black Sea & Danube Oilseed Report for the detailed market coverage.

Black Sea & Danube region:

  • Niche is no longer niche; without standard quality and friendly logistics, premiums vanish fast while costs don’t
  • UkrAgroConsult estimates that demand for Romanian barley is even higher than for milling wheat
  • russian 2025 wheat crop estimation raised to 88 M mt
  • Black Sea-Danube-Balkan: corn stays price-taker vs Brazil/US
  • Where Black Sea corn flow thins, Brazil/US fill the gap
  • In Nov, Black Sea-Danube sunflower will be supported by slow harvest and active crush demand
  • Farmers are talking about cutting sunflower areas in 2026 because margins are volatile and weather risk is growing
  • In Bulgaria rapeseed crushing increases even as the harvest falls
  • Rapeseed is becoming an energy driven first, ag market second

Ukraine:

  • Farmers’ corn selling is slower after heavy barley and rapeseed sales, they can wait
  • Local demand for barley increased prices CPT Ukrainian ports
  • Season of 2025/26 will be the worst year for sunflowers in many years
  • SFS harvest forecasts are decreasing and the SFO price is rising
  • Rains improved winter rapeseed conditions in Ukraine

Analytical articles are also available in the AgriSupp platform.

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