Malaysia end-Aug palm oil stocks hit 2 mil tonne for first time in 2 years

Malaysia’s palm oil inventories at end-August likely swelled above 2 million tonnes for the first time in more than two years, lifted by a jump in production.

Stockpiles jumped 14.5% from the month before to 2.03 million tonnes, the highest since April 2020, according to the median estimate of nine traders and analysts.

Output in the world’s second largest producer climbed 8% to 1.7 million tonnes, hitting a 10-month peak.

August, the start of the peak production season, is on course to be the best production month, buoyed by rains offering ample soil moisture and boosting yields, said Sathia Varqa, co-founder of Singapore-based Palm Oil Analytics.

“September production rise will see a slowdown as yields take time to recover,” he added.

Meanwhile, exports eased 0.14% to 1.32 million tonnes amid increasing price competition with larger rival Indonesia.

Estimates by cargo surveyors ranged from a decline of 3% to a 1.6% rise, as shipments to China and the European Union rose but key buyer India slowed purchases.

The rising inventories have been reflected in the price trend in August, said William Simadiputra, analyst at DBS Vickers Securities in Jakarta.

Malaysia’s benchmark crude palm oil contract fell 3.4% in August, its fourth consecutive monthly decline.

The Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) is scheduled to release its data on Sept. 12. – Reuters

Breakdown of August estimates (in tonnes):

Tags: inventories, Indonesia, estimate, Production, Malaysia, yields, palm oil, output, stockpiles