India’s unloading of 20m tonnes of rice will plunge Thai prices, exporter warns

“We were shocked to hear the volume because India has set its selling price at just US$230 per tonne,” Chukiart said.

He noted that Indian rice exporters may spend an additional US$30 per tonne to upgrade quality to export standards, then sell it at between US$280 and US$300 per tonne—significantly lower than current Thai export prices.

At present, Thailand exports 5% polished rice at US$365–370 per tonne. At these prices, farmers receive only 5,000–6,000 baht per tonne of paddy, compared with 11,000–12,000 baht per tonne last year.

Chukiart added that the global market has already been flooded with Indian rice since the government lifted its export ban on polished rice late last year. Thai rice prices fell immediately and are expected to decline further when the 20 million tonnes hit the market next month.

In the first six months of this year, India exported more than 11 million tonnes of rice, followed by Vietnam with 5.2 million tonnes and Thailand with 3.7 million tonnes.

This year’s export targets are: India at 23 million tonnes, Vietnam at 9 million tonnes, and Thailand at 7.5 million tonnes.