India rice traders want easing of export curbs as competition from Pakistan stiffens

“We met Food Minister Pralhad Joshi today. We told him that Indian rice exports are becoming uncompetitive against Pakistan,” Jain said.

Pakistani rice varieties similar to India’s basmati varieties have been exported for as low as US$700 per tonne, he added.

India’s basmati rice production would likely be in the range of 9 million metric tons this year, compared with about 8-8.5 million tons last year, Jain said.

Traders have approached the commerce ministry and were hopeful that the government would ease the shipment curbs soon, Jain added. Most of India’s rice crops are due to be harvested by October though some varieties could arrive in domestic markets as early as September.

Export margins have also been whittled away by port congestion, which has made shipments more expensive and time-consuming, Jain said.

Shipping woes have been exacerbated by tensions in the Middle East with Houthi rebels firing at ships navigating the Red Sea in recent months in response to the Israel-Gaza war. The challenges of supplying to the Middle East, one of India’s most important rice markets, have also been compounded by a worldwide shortage of containers.

Deadly heatwaves across parts of Asia earlier this summer sparked concerns about whether the extreme weather could damage crop output and disrupt rainfall patterns.

Monsoon rains in September could hover above the long-term average, said D Pai, head of agromet advisory services at the India Meteorological Department.

Climate change has pushed back the end of the monsoon season from the first week of September by around a couple of weeks in recent years and the coming rainy period could last until the end of September, Pai said.

India’s breadbasket northern and northwest provinces could see heavy rains, which would unlikely cause any significant crop damage, he added.

More bountiful showers could be expected with rainfall patterns transitioning towards the La Nina weather phenomenon, Pai said.

Rice is a water-guzzling crop that thrives in conditions of abundant water availability.

Vijay Setia, former president of the All India Rice Exporters Association, was optimistic that the favourable weather would remain through the end of the season. The June-September season typically accounts for about 70 per cent of the country’s rainfall.

A change in the monsoon season would mean a delay in rice harvesting in parts of the country without significantly affecting the overall crop, he said. “Though the monsoon is getting a little prolonged, there is no disease to crops so far,” Setia said.

Night-time temperatures have remained low and there has been no sudden spell of warming that could lead to premature ripening of the rice crop, he said.

“They [the government] should remove all export curbs. There are other ways to control prices if and when required,” he said.