USDA left the assessment of the wheat crop forecast in Ukraine unchanged

Source:  Latifundist.com
usda МСХ США

The world wheat production in 2024/25 season is forecasted at 793.79 mln tonnes (+0.55 mln tonnes to the previous forecast). This is evidenced by the USDA report for February.

The forecast for world wheat exports is 208.99 million tons (-3.01 million tons). Experts lowered the forecast of ending wheat stocks in the world to 257.56 million tons (-1.26 million tons).

The assessment of the wheat harvest forecast in Ukraine remained unchanged – 22.9 million tons, the export forecast was reduced by 0.5 million tons – to 15.5 million tons. Ending stocks will be at 1.29 million tons (+0.3 million tons).

The forecast for the wheat harvest in the United States remained unchanged – 53.65 million tons, exports are estimated at 23.13 million tons, ending stocks – 21.62 million tons (-0.09 million tons).

Forecast for major wheat exporters for MY 2024/25:

Country Harvest, mln tons Exports, mln tons Reserves, mln tons
Argentina 17,7 (+0,2) 11,5 (0) 3,7 (+0,2)
Australia 32 (0) 25 (0) 2,61 (0)
Canada 34,96 (0) 26 (0) 4,59 (+0,7)
EU 121,3 (0) 28 (-1) 10,59 (0)
Russia 81,5 (0) 45,5 (-0,5) 9,74 (+0,5)

USDA analysts forecast the wheat production in China in 2024/25 MY at 140.1 mln tonnes, the imports estimate – 8 mln tonnes (-2.5 mln tonnes), the ending stocks – 130.6 mln tonnes (-2.5 mln tonnes).

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