USDA did not change wheat production forecast for Ukraine

USDA forecasts world wheat production in MY 2025/26 at 808.5 million tons (+0.07 million tons compared to last season), according to the USDA report for June.
The forecast for world wheat exports is 214.33 million tons (+1.34 million tons). Experts have lowered the forecast for ending wheat stocks in the world to 262.76 million tons (-2.97 million tons).
The forecast for the wheat harvest in Ukraine has not changed – 23 million tons, exports will be at 16.5 million tons, ending stocks unchanged – 1.49 million tons.
The forecast for the wheat harvest for the USA is unchanged – 52.28 million tons. Estimated exports – 22.45 million tons (+0.68 million tons), ending stocks – 24.45 million tons (-0.67 million tons).
Forecast for major wheat exporters for MY 2025/26:
Country | Yield, million tons | Export, million tons | Stocks, million tons |
Argentina | 20 (0) | 13 (0) | 4,65 (0) |
Australia | 31 (0) | 25 (0) | 4,32 (0) |
Canada | 36 (0) | 27 (0) | 4,39 (0) |
EU | 136,5 (+0,55) | 34,5 (+0,5) | 12,91 (+0,05) |
Russia | 83 (0) | 45 (0) | 9,39 (-2) |
USDA analysts forecast wheat production in China in the MY 2025/26 at 142 million tons, estimated imports at 6 million tons, and ending stocks at 124.6 million tons (+0.7 million tons).
Discover more about аgri market developments at the 11 International Conference BLACK SEA OIL TRADE on September 23 in Bucharest! Join agribusiness professionals from 25+ countries for a powerful start of the oilseed season!
Read also
Vietnam remains Singapore’s third-largest rice supplier
Hanna Mshar – Speaker at BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2025, Bucharest
Share of poultry meat in global consumption will reach 45% in ten years
Canada: Wheat production under pressure in 2025/26
Sunflower seeds processing capacity in Ukraine is 63% loaded
Write to us
Our manager will contact you soon