USDA did not change wheat production forecast for Ukraine
USDA forecasts world wheat production in MY 2025/26 at 808.5 million tons (+0.07 million tons compared to last season), according to the USDA report for June.
The forecast for world wheat exports is 214.33 million tons (+1.34 million tons). Experts have lowered the forecast for ending wheat stocks in the world to 262.76 million tons (-2.97 million tons).
The forecast for the wheat harvest in Ukraine has not changed – 23 million tons, exports will be at 16.5 million tons, ending stocks unchanged – 1.49 million tons.
The forecast for the wheat harvest for the USA is unchanged – 52.28 million tons. Estimated exports – 22.45 million tons (+0.68 million tons), ending stocks – 24.45 million tons (-0.67 million tons).
Forecast for major wheat exporters for MY 2025/26:
| Country | Yield, million tons | Export, million tons | Stocks, million tons |
| Argentina | 20 (0) | 13 (0) | 4,65 (0) |
| Australia | 31 (0) | 25 (0) | 4,32 (0) |
| Canada | 36 (0) | 27 (0) | 4,39 (0) |
| EU | 136,5 (+0,55) | 34,5 (+0,5) | 12,91 (+0,05) |
| Russia | 83 (0) | 45 (0) | 9,39 (-2) |
USDA analysts forecast wheat production in China in the MY 2025/26 at 142 million tons, estimated imports at 6 million tons, and ending stocks at 124.6 million tons (+0.7 million tons).
For almost 30 years of expertise in the agri markets, UkrAgroConsult has accumulated an extensive database, which became the basis of the platform AgriSupp.
It is a multi-functional online platform with market intelligence for grains and oilseeds that enables to get access to daily operational information on the Black Sea & Danube markets, analytical reports, historical data.
You are welcome to get a 7-day free demo access!!!
Read also
UkrAgroConsult presents market research on Ukraine’s livestock sector under condit...
US Milling Industry Outlook Remains Stable — NAMA President
US soybean exports are half of last year’s level
Ukraine’s corn harvest continues to lag behind last year’s pace amid high moisture...
Global meat prices hit historic high amid shrinking supply and strong demand
Got additional questions?
We will be happy to assist!
Write to us
Our manager will contact you soon