
Ukraine oilseed market trends, August 2025

UkrAgroConsult
Article author:
Ukraine: oilseed s&d, 2024/25, Aug 2025
Market scenarios
- The 2025/26 season issue is re-routing from oilseed exports to higher product exports – if the export duty regime comes into force.
- Competitiveness may be driven by higher supply of Ukrainian SFO and oilseed meals.
- If SB and RPS export duties take effect, domestic crush margins improve and capacity use rises with lower unit costs.
- Risks – weather may decrease SFS oil content/quality in the South/East.
Weather split Ukraine by two parts
- South and East face heat and drought, cutting yield potential
- North and West have enough moisture, but rains risk quality via high moisture and disease
- Biggest rain exposure is in sunflower and soybean
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