Share of Ukrainian corn on the EU market has decreased to 26%

Ukraine lost more than half of its last year’s presence on the EU market: from 5.78 million tons (56%) to 2.15 million tons (26%). Corn imports to the EU decreased from 10.33 million tons to 8.22 million tons (-20%).

This was reported by analysts at Spike Brokers.

The vacant market share was filled by Brazil (2.88 million tons, 35%) and the USA (2.62 million tons, 31.8%), which together provide more than two-thirds of imports.

The world corn market is becoming one of the most competitive, and Ukraine’s position has weakened due to the delay in the harvesting campaign and logistical restrictions associated with the constant attacks of the Russian Federation on port infrastructure. At the same time, the aggressive expansion of South and North America guaranteed the EU stable supplies.

The supply of corn in Ukraine continues to grow. The crop was harvested on 91% of the area, and the gross harvest as of 08.01.26 reached 28.7 million tons. In the first 8 days of January, Ukraine exported 579 thousand tons of corn. The main destinations were Italy – 179.8 thousand tons, Turkey – 113.7 thousand tons, as well as the MENA markets: Tunisia (72.9 thousand tons), Egypt (56.1 thousand tons) and Libya (56.7 thousand tons).

In the EU structure, the largest volumes were received by the Netherlands (50.9 thousand tons) and Spain (26.6 thousand tons). Increasing the efficiency of port operations and the speed of unloading caused a temporary shortage of goods in ports, which led to a strengthening of prices for delivery in January. Some deals were closed at $208.

The spot price index for corn delivered CPT-port (30 days) increased by $1 to $207. Since October 2025, Ukraine has shipped 1.4 million tons of corn to Italy, which significantly satisfied the demand of this market.

The first working week after the New Year holidays did not bring significant activity from European buyers, who are still receiving and unloading 2025 deliveries – both by sea and rail. The first indications of demand from the Italian market for train deliveries since March are €176 FCA Chop with delivery in March-June.

Tags: Ukraine, corn, EU