Decline in US pork exports to China: causes and consequences

A recent analysis showed a significant decline in U.S. pork exports to China, which has become a major concern for American producers. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and the U.S. Meat Exporters Federation (USMEF), shipments in May 2025 fell 11% compared to the same period last year.
The main reason for this decline is the record tariffs on imports, which reached 172%. Despite a temporary reduction in tariffs for 90 days due to a joint statement on May 14, the current rate remains at 57%, which worsens the competitiveness of U.S. meat in the Chinese market.
Dan Hallstrom, President of USMEF, emphasizes that the current situation requires producers to rethink their strategies. In May 2025, export volumes amounted to 224,162 tons, which is the lowest since September 2023, and export revenues fell 10% to $646.5 million.
The decline in demand for U.S. pork in China is also due to changing consumer preferences and increasing interest in local products. However, there is an opportunity for U.S. producers to diversify their markets by increasing supplies to other regions, such as Southeast Asia, Europe, and the Middle East. Active trade negotiations could improve the situation and lead to lower tariffs.
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